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Moisture Update - April 30, 2025

Winter Precipitation Trends

Map 4: In the winter season, from November through April, precipitation accumulations varied spatially across the province, with areas experiencing both near-normal and below-normal conditions (Map 4). The east half of the Central and South Region, the North West Region, and the south Peace Region, all had near normal winter precipitation accumulations. Pockets of moderately low (one in 3 to 6-year lows) precipitation relative to normal were also scattered through this area.

A large area along the foothills, running from Cardston County to northeast of Red Deer, across to the County of Paintearth, and north through Beaver County into Lamont County, reported moderately low (once in 3 to 6-year lows) winter accumulations relative to normal.

The central Peace Region from Saddle Hills County to the M.D. of Opportunity and north into Mackenzie County, also reported moderately low (once in 3 to 6-year lows) precipitation relative to long-term normal. Pockets across this area also reported low (once in 6 to 12-year lows) precipitation relative to long term normal.

About half of Alberta had a reasonably typical winter in terms of precipitation, although key agricultural and foothill areas saw drier-than-usual conditions.

Perspective

Even with above-average winter precipitation, it rarely replenishes deep soil moisture or reverses long-term deficits. Winter is inherently the driest season, so its influence on soil moisture and agricultural productivity is minimal.

The months of May through July are pivotal. They contribute the bulk of moisture needed for crop germination, vegetative growth, and yield formation. What happens in these months will be the true determinant of the 2025 cropping season’s outcome.

Alberta is now entering its historically wetter period. There remains ample opportunity to improve moisture conditions, provided rainfall arrives in a timely and sufficient manner.

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